{"id":76438,"date":"2023-10-02T10:19:22","date_gmt":"2023-10-02T09:19:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.artefact.com\/?post_type=news&#038;p=76438"},"modified":"2024-09-20T17:42:48","modified_gmt":"2024-09-20T16:42:48","slug":"ai-a-source-of-optimism","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.artefact.com\/zh\/news\/ai-a-source-of-optimism\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff0c\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6e90\u6cc9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling article-author\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-background-color:#ffffff;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"max-width:calc( 1440px + 20px );margin-left: calc(-20px \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-20px \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_2 1_2 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:50%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:10px;--awb-margin-bottom-large:0px;--awb-spacing-left-large:10px;--awb-width-medium:50%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:10px;--awb-spacing-left-medium:10px;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:10px;--awb-spacing-left-small:10px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-1 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-two\" style=\"--awb-margin-bottom-small:8px;\"><h2 class=\"fusion-title-heading title-heading-left fusion-responsive-typography-calculated\" style=\"margin:0;--fontSize:50;line-height:1.2;\">\u4f5c\u8005<\/h2><\/div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%27%20width%3D%27150%27%20height%3D%270%27%20viewBox%3D%270%200%20150%200%27%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%27150%27%20height%3D%270%27%20fill-opacity%3D%220%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-orig-src=\"https:\/\/www.artefact.com\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Vincent-500.png\" alt=\"Image\" class=\"lazyload artefact-elegant-image align-left article-author-image\" style=\"width: 150px; border-radius: 54% 46% 77% 23% \/ 74% 40% 60% 26%; overflow: hidden;\" width=\"150\" height=\"auto\" \/><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-2 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-three article-author-name-title\" style=\"--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color7);--awb-margin-bottom-small:8px;--awb-font-size:18px;\"><h3 class=\"fusion-title-heading title-heading-left fusion-responsive-typography-calculated\" style=\"font-family:&quot;Josefin Sans&quot;;font-style:normal;font-weight:600;margin:0;font-size:1em;--fontSize:18;line-height:1.5;\">\u6587\u68ee\u7279-\u5362\u897f\u4e9a\u5c3c<\/h3><\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1 article-author-description\" style=\"--awb-font-size:14px;--awb-line-height:1.6;--awb-letter-spacing:2px;--awb-text-transform:uppercase;--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color7);--awb-text-font-family:&quot;Roboto&quot;;--awb-text-font-style:normal;--awb-text-font-weight:400;\"><p>\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u517c Artefact \u8054\u5408\u521b\u59cb\u4eba<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><article class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-2 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--link_color: var(--awb-color6);--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-background-color:var(--awb-color1);--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-justify-content-center fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"max-width:calc( 1440px + 20px );margin-left: calc(-20px \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-20px \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:10px;--awb-margin-bottom-large:0px;--awb-spacing-left-large:10px;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:10px;--awb-spacing-left-medium:10px;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:10px;--awb-spacing-left-small:10px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-2\"><blockquote>\n<div class=\"quote\">\u201c\u6211\u56fd\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9886\u57df\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u6700\u4f18\u79c0\u7684\u4eba\u624d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6b27\u6d32\u9f13\u52b1\u63a2\u7d22\u6027\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u5c31\u80fd\u5728\u8be5\u9886\u57df\u53d1\u6325\u9886\u5bfc\u4f5c\u7528\u201d\u3002\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"quote-baseline\">Artefact \u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u517c\u8054\u5408\u521b\u59cb\u4eba Vincent Luciani<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-3\" style=\"--awb-font-size:20px;--awb-line-height:1.6;--awb-letter-spacing:var(--awb-typography4-letter-spacing);--awb-text-transform:var(--awb-typography4-text-transform);--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color5);--awb-text-font-family:var(--awb-typography4-font-family);--awb-text-font-weight:var(--awb-typography4-font-weight);--awb-text-font-style:var(--awb-typography4-font-style);\"><p>\u4eca\u5e74\u79cb\u5929\u6700\u4ee4\u4eba\u632f\u594b\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u83ab\u8fc7\u4e8e\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u666f\u6c14\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff08\u6b63\u5982 REF 2023 \u6240\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff09\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4e5f\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\u90fd\u66f4\u6709\u6f5c\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u5168\u7403\u8fdb\u6b65\u3002.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-4\" style=\"--awb-font-size:20px;--awb-line-height:1.6;--awb-letter-spacing:var(--awb-typography4-letter-spacing);--awb-text-transform:var(--awb-typography4-text-transform);--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color5);--awb-text-font-family:var(--awb-typography4-font-family);--awb-text-font-weight:var(--awb-typography4-font-weight);--awb-text-font-style:var(--awb-typography4-font-style);\"><p>\u4eca\u5e74\u590f\u5929\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u5230\u6765\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u53cd\u5bf9\u8005\u548c\u73b0\u4ee3\u5362\u5fb7\u5206\u5b50\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e38\u8bf4\u7684\u662f\u5c31\u4e1a\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u77e5\u8bc6\u4ea7\u6743\u635f\u5931\u548c\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u7684\u6307\u6570\u7ea7\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u5e94\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u98ce\u9669\u964d\u5230\u6700\u4f4e\u6216\u6389\u4ee5\u8f7b\u5fc3\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8981\u592a\u5feb\u6210\u4e3a\u672b\u65e5\u8bba\u8005\u3002\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9996\u5148\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u53ef\u591a\u5f97\u7684\u673a\u9047\u548c\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f7f\u7528\u5f97\u5f53\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u5e26\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u8fdb\u6b65\u3002.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-5\" style=\"--awb-font-size:20px;--awb-line-height:1.6;--awb-letter-spacing:var(--awb-typography4-letter-spacing);--awb-text-transform:var(--awb-typography4-text-transform);--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color5);--awb-text-font-family:var(--awb-typography4-font-family);--awb-text-font-weight:var(--awb-typography4-font-weight);--awb-text-font-style:var(--awb-typography4-font-style);\"><p>\u9996\u5148\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u6b65\uff1a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4e3a\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u63d0\u5347\u662f\u6bcb\u5eb8\u7f6e\u7591\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4eba\u4eec\u671f\u5f85\u5df2\u4e45\u7684\u632f\u5174\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5173\u952e\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u5386\u6765\u662f\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u9886\u57df\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u80fd\u591f\u8bc4\u4f30\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5fae\u8f6f\u516c\u53f8\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff08\u89c1\u300a\u5fc3\u7075\u7684\u673a\u5668\uff1a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u63a8\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u300b\uff09\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u804c\u4e1a\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u5f71\u54cd\uff1aThe case for an AI-powered productivity boom, Brookings\uff09\uff0c\u8f6f\u4ef6\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e08\u4f7f\u7528\u57fa\u4e8e\u65e9\u671f\u7248\u672c GPT-3 \u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u7684 Codex \u5de5\u5177\u8fdb\u884c\u7f16\u7801\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5feb\u4e86\u4e00\u500d\u3002\u6839\u636e\u9ad8\u76db\uff08Goldman Sachs\uff09\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u7e41\u8363\u5c06\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765 7% \u7684\u6f5c\u5728 GDP \u589e\u957f\uff01<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-6\" style=\"--awb-font-size:20px;--awb-line-height:1.6;--awb-letter-spacing:var(--awb-typography4-letter-spacing);--awb-text-transform:var(--awb-typography4-text-transform);--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color5);--awb-text-font-family:var(--awb-typography4-font-family);--awb-text-font-weight:var(--awb-typography4-font-weight);--awb-text-font-style:var(--awb-typography4-font-style);\"><p>\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u867d\u7136\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u7684\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e0d\u518d\u9700\u8981\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u4f46\u5173\u4e8e\u5b83\u4eec\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u4e89\u8bba\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u52b3\u5de5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u9879\u975e\u5e38\u4ee4\u4eba\u9f13\u821e\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6709\u671b\u5bf9\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4ea7\u751f\u79ef\u6781\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u67d0\u4e9b\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u53d6\u4ee3\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8865\u5145\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6467\u6bc1\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u6536\u5165\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6240\u6709\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\u4e2d\uff0c\u6709 5.5% \u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u751f\u6210\u578b\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53ea\u6709 0.4% \u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u5f71\u54cd\u3002.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-7\" style=\"--awb-font-size:20px;--awb-line-height:1.6;--awb-letter-spacing:var(--awb-typography4-letter-spacing);--awb-text-transform:var(--awb-typography4-text-transform);--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color5);--awb-text-font-family:var(--awb-typography4-font-family);--awb-text-font-weight:var(--awb-typography4-font-weight);--awb-text-font-style:var(--awb-typography4-font-style);\"><p>\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u5728\u6dd8\u6c70\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\u7684\u5408\u7406\u5316\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5b83\u4eec\u4f1a\u96c7\u4f63\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5458\u5de5\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5411\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u8ba2\u8d2d\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63a8\u52a8\u6574\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u65b0\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\u4e5f\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u81ea 1945 \u5e74\u81f3 1975 \u5e74\u6cd5\u56fd\u6218\u540e\u5927\u53d1\u5c55\u65f6\u671f \u201c\u5149\u8f89\u5c81\u6708\u201d\uff08Les Trente Glorieuses\uff09\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5de5\u4f5c\u5c97\u4f4d\u7684\u591a\u6837\u6027\u5927\u5927\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u81f3\u5c11\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u6234\u7ef4-\u5965\u7279\u5c14\uff08David Autor\uff09\u662f\u8fd9\u4e48\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7684\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5f53\u4eca\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4e2d\u6709 60% \u6240\u4ece\u4e8b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u5728 1940 \u5e74\u662f\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u3002.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-8\" style=\"--awb-font-size:20px;--awb-line-height:1.6;--awb-letter-spacing:var(--awb-typography4-letter-spacing);--awb-text-transform:var(--awb-typography4-text-transform);--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color5);--awb-text-font-family:var(--awb-typography4-font-family);--awb-text-font-weight:var(--awb-typography4-font-weight);--awb-text-font-style:var(--awb-typography4-font-style);\"><p>\u6700\u540e\u662f\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u662f\u89e3\u51b3\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u5951\u673a\u3002\u6839\u636e\u65af\u5766\u798f\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5c06\u4e3b\u8981\u60e0\u53ca\u7ecf\u9a8c\u548c\u8d44\u5386\u6700\u6d45\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c06\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u89e3\u51b3\u67d0\u4e9b\u6559\u80b2\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\uff08\u89c1\u300a2023 \u5e74\uff0c\u751f\u6210\u6027\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4f60\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u66f4\u6709\u6210\u6548\u5417\u300b\uff09\u3002\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u57fa\u4e8e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4e5f\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u8c03\u6574\u548c\u4e2a\u6027\u5316\u6559\u5b66\u6765\u6253\u51fb\u8f8d\u5b66\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982Lalilo\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9605\u8bfb\u5b66\u4e60\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9002\u5e94\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5b66\u751f\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u6559\u5e08\u4e2a\u6027\u5316\u9605\u8bfb\u6559\u5b66\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u8f8d\u5b66\u7387\u3002.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-9\" 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